TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 5:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Louisiana Tech and Baylor. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Louisiana Tech vs Baylor college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that prediction markets often incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter of the Louisiana Tech vs Baylor game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, its price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the second quarter spread in the Louisiana Tech vs Baylor game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contract. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisiana Tech or Baylor teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategy or internal issues could shift market sentiment. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, influencing traders' expectations and driving price fluctuations.