TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:56 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Louisiana-Monroe and UAB. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, resolving based on which team leads by more than that margin at halftime.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the first half of the Louisiana-Monroe vs UAB college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For markets where UAB must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs if UAB's halftime lead exceeds that margin. Conversely, markets requiring Louisiana-Monroe to win resolve if their halftime lead surpasses the stated threshold. Only points scored during the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official halftime result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when considering the collective intelligence of participants. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads in the first half. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The current price indicates the probability that Louisiana-Monroe will win the first half by over 4.5 points, as reflected by the trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the first half of the Louisiana-Monroe versus UAB game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports organization, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to view the official result and confirm their payouts after the resolution time.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UAB or Louisiana-Monroe would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's conditions, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis could also contribute to shifts in the market price.