TOTAL VOLUME:
$148.5b
24H VOL:
$251,268,536
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,817,056,367
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,864,438,999
455,542
Markets across
34,846
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,830
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
$
This market tracks the likelihood of a pick-six being scored in the Louisiana-Monroe versus Troy college football game, alongside the over/under for total defensive/special teams touchdowns. Currently, the consensus probability of a pick-six being scored is 100.0%, with the over/under also at 100.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the game results reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 24th, as the outcome will depend on defensive and offensive plays during that contest.
In the upcoming college football game between Louisiana-Monroe and Troy, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Louisiana-Monroe" if Louisiana-Monroe win the game. This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy college football game originally scheduled for October 24, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different platforms attract different types of traders, leading to variations in pricing. Polymarket may have a user base with specialized knowledge of college football, while Kalshi might be more influenced by general public sentiment. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can impact price discovery. Lower volume can lead to greater price volatility, while higher volume typically results in more stable and accurate odds. These factors contribute to the observed differences in how each platform assesses the likelihood of various outcomes in the Louisiana-Monroe vs. Troy game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Louisiana-Monroe vs. Troy game will be used to determine the winning outcome. This market is designed to reflect the real-world result of the sporting event, and the resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable information. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the governing body of college football.
Several factors could significantly shift the predictions in this market before it resolves around Oct 24, 2026. Key player injuries on either the Louisiana-Monroe or Troy teams would undoubtedly impact the odds. Unexpected coaching changes, significant weather forecasts affecting game conditions, or even major news regarding team morale could also cause movement. Finally, large-volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can quickly influence the price, reflecting a sudden shift in collective belief about the game’s outcome.