TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 12:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the scoring performance of both teams in a college football matchup, focusing specifically on the total number of touchdowns each team achieves during the game. It allows participants to assess offensive capabilities and game dynamics by setting thresholds for touchdown counts.
The event evaluates various touchdown thresholds for both Mississippi State and Louisiana-Monroe in their college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the specified team reaches or exceeds its designated touchdown count. Touchdowns scored in overtime count toward the total, but successful 2-point conversions—whether in regulation or overtime—do not contribute to these totals. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. As more information becomes available – like injury reports or weather forecasts – the prices in this market may adjust more quickly than sportsbook lines, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total touchdown outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information from a diverse range of participants, creating a real-time assessment of probabilities. The current price reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of each outcome occurring in the ULM vs Mississippi State game.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team total touchdowns scored in the ULM vs Mississippi State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual team total touchdowns align with the contract’s specified outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the resolution is finalized.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Injury reports for key players on either the ULM or Mississippi State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions that could affect scoring, could also shift prices. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, any significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself could cause noticeable price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.