TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines whether Mississippi State, Louisiana-Monroe, or neither team scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. All touchdowns—including those from offensive, defensive, or special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The outcome is based solely on the first touchdown scored, with a specific market resolving to Yes if no team scores a touchdown during the entire game.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reveal different insights due to the unique ways traders price in probabilities. While sportsbooks may factor in broader public betting trends and adjusted lines, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their own assessments. This can lead to tighter pricing or sharper shifts as game conditions evolve, especially when new information emerges about team performance or player availability.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds for this market by buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current top chance reflects the aggregate view of all participants, adjusting dynamically with new data or shifts in sentiment. Volume of $107 shows the level of interest and activity around the possible outcomes, with price movements driven by trader consensus rather than external oddsmakers.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by which team scores the first touchdown during the game, as officially recorded and reported by recognized sports authorities. Once the game concludes and the scoring details are publicly confirmed, the market will settle accordingly.
Injuries, weather conditions, or strategic changes by either team’s coaching staff could shift expectations and move this market. Key moments such as star player performance, early-game momentum swings, or even shifts in betting volume on Kalshi can influence trader sentiment. As the kickoff approaches, any last-minute news about starting lineups or game conditions may cause notable price adjustments ahead of resolution.