TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first quarter in an upcoming college football game between Louisiana-Monroe and Mississippi State. It focuses solely on the scoring during the initial 15-minute period, ignoring the rest of the game. The outcome depends on whether Mississippi State, Louisiana-Monroe, or neither team (in case of a tie) has the most points after the first quarter.
If Mississippi St. wins the 1st quarter of the Louisiana-Monroe vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisiana-Monroe wins the 1st quarter of the Louisiana-Monroe vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Louisiana-Monroe vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market’s price is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a team’s chances, the price here may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and influences trader behavior.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a specific outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team winning the first quarter, the price of those contracts increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in the market, and it fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that wins the first quarter of the Louisiana-Monroe vs Mississippi St. game will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official results released by the governing body of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances after the resolution is complete.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause traders to adjust their positions. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market.