TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Louisiana-Monroe and Mississippi State. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold, indicating whether one team will win the first quarter by more than that margin.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Louisiana-Monroe vs Mississippi State college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. If Mississippi State wins the first quarter by exceeding the specified margin—from 2.5 to 23.5 points—the corresponding 'Yes' outcome applies. Conversely, if Louisiana-Monroe achieves a first-quarter win by more than the designated thresholds (2.5 to 10.5 points), the respective 'Yes' outcome is triggered. Only points scored during the first quarter count. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Louisiana-Monroe vs Mississippi St. game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts are correctly valued at the time of resolution. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that spread will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Louisiana-Monroe vs Mississippi St. game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisiana-Monroe or Mississippi St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could move the market. Public perception and betting trends observed elsewhere could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.