TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 9:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Louisiana-Monroe and Mississippi State. Outcomes are determined solely by the score difference at halftime, with various thresholds defining different market resolutions.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of play in the Louisiana-Monroe vs Mississippi State college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if Mississippi State wins by more than the stated margin, or if Louisiana-Monroe wins by more than the stated margin depending on the market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official halftime result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there’s a lot of uncertainty. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first half spread of the Louisiana-Monroe vs Mississippi St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be compared to the contracts traded on Kalshi to determine winning and losing positions. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisiana-Monroe or Mississippi St. teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they could affect the style of play, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, could also cause the market to react and adjust its probabilities as the game approaches.