TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 9:01 PM EST
Kalshi
Loudoun United FC and Tampa Bay face off in a USL Championship professional soccer match scheduled for July 18, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Loudoun United FC vs Tampa Bay USL Championship match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. The match outcome resolves to one of three possibilities: a Loudoun United FC victory, a Tampa Bay victory, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market may show materially different probabilities than major sportsbooks, particularly if one venue attracts sharper or more specialized bettors. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. As new information surfaces or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates or place limit orders to execute at your target price.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and any official determinations made by the league or governing body. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments—such as team news, weather conditions, or pre-match analysis—influence the perceived likelihood of each result.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups, injury announcements, and recent form or head-to-head records. Weather conditions on match day, managerial decisions, and late-breaking tactical changes can also shift trader expectations. Media coverage, expert analysis, and social sentiment may influence retail participation, while sharp bettors often react quickly to statistical edges or lineup surprises. As the match approaches, volatility typically increases as traders refine their positions based on the most current information available.