TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
Loudoun United FC and Sporting Jax compete in a USL Championship professional soccer match on July 3, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
This event covers a professional USL Championship soccer match between Loudoun United FC and Sporting Jax scheduled for July 3, 2026. Resolution is based on the final result after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Loudoun United FC, a win for Sporting Jax, or a tie. Each outcome resolves to Yes if that result occurs at the end of regulation plus stoppage time. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard resolution procedures.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real money on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction across Kalshi, revealing what informed participants genuinely expect. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can highlight where consensus differs, though both sources offer valuable perspective on the matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and offers on shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the current supply and demand balance, with the implied probability derived directly from the share price. As traders update their positions ahead of the match, prices adjust in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price, and the market's depth and liquidity determine how easily you can execute.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the fixture; draws or other scenarios are handled according to the market's outcome definitions. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official league records or reputable sports data providers. Check the market details for any specific rules regarding postponements or unusual circumstances.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—often triggers sharp market movement. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or betting syndicates can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form streaks also influence how the market reprices. Social media momentum and late-breaking injury reports in the hours before kickoff frequently cause volatility. Monitoring team social channels, official league announcements, and sports news outlets will help you stay ahead of market-moving developments.