TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 9:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the same soccer match, determining whether either team wins by a specific goal difference. The result hinges on the winning team's lead after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Loudoun United FC or New Mexico United wins the professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for August 22, 2026. The match must be evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are not considered. The first two markets require Loudoun United FC to win by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals, respectively. The latter two markets require New Mexico United to win by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals, respectively. If the specified condition is met for the respective market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and betting patterns. While sportsbooks set their lines based on a blend of analytics and public betting trends, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Comparing the two can reveal shifts in sentiment or value opportunities.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded at the end of the match determines the result, closing the market based on official box scores and league data. Traders will see their positions settle automatically once the game concludes and results are confirmed.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and shifting coaching strategies can all influence this market. Strong pre-game performances in practice or recent form updates may also shift trader sentiment. As the match nears, any last-minute roster changes or venue news could cause rapid price swings, so staying updated on team announcements is crucial for tracking movement.