TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 9:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Loudoun United FC and Hartford Athletic, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential between Loudoun United FC and Hartford Athletic in their scheduled USL Championship match on August 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Loudoun United FC winning by more than 2.5 goals, Loudoun United FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, Hartford Athletic winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Hartford Athletic winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome corresponds to a specific market resolution condition. All resolutions are determined solely by regular-time results, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The event explicitly states that the platform operating the markets is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced, trader-driven view of expected outcomes compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on a blend of analytics and betting action, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their outlook. This can lead to tighter spreads or sharper adjustments as new information emerges, especially when key players or game conditions shift.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be calculated based on the official match statistics, and the market will close accordingly, paying out traders based on where their positions aligned with the verified result.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting the game, or shifts in team form leading up to the match could all influence this market. Any public updates from coaches, medical reports, or changes in starting lineups often trigger rapid price adjustments. Traders will also watch for betting trends and any last-minute news that might sway expectations about the final spread.