TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 7:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of the first half in a professional soccer match between Loudoun United FC and Hartford Athletic. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will lead at halftime or if the half will end in a tie, based on the game's early performance.
The event determines the first-half winner of the Loudoun United FC versus Hartford Athletic match scheduled for August 1, 2026, within the USL Championship league. Three possible outcomes are considered: Loudoun United FC wins the first half, Hartford Athletic wins the first half, or the half ends in a tie (including scenarios where no goals are scored or both teams score equally). If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. The resolution hinges solely on the score after 45 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without regard to the full match result.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced insights driven by active traders. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends, the prediction market price incorporates real-time trading activity and can react faster to new information, such as lineup changes or weather updates.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent each team's likelihood of winning the first half. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity indicated by the volume of $507. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid adjustments as new data emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first half is determined by the official match records, and the market settles accordingly, reflecting the actual performance on the field during that period.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or strategic coaching decisions could shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, early betting trends, media analysis, and any last-minute lineup announcements may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting the odds as the match day nears. These dynamics keep the market reactive to real-world developments.