TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:34 PM EST
Kalshi
In an upcoming professional League of Legends match, two teams compete across multiple maps. The outcome depends on which team secures victory on the third map, determining the winner of that specific segment of the competition.
The market resolves based on the result of map 3 in the specified CBLOL 2026 match between LOUD and LOS, scheduled for September 27, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If LOUD wins map 3, the LOUD market resolves to Yes; if LOS wins map 3, the LOS market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, giving traders insight into the potential impact of larger trades. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 3 in the LOUD versus LOS match. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available game results, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events. This ensures a fair and reliable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, strategic changes announced by either team, or unexpected developments during the match itself could significantly impact trader sentiment. For example, if a key player for LOUD is reported to be injured, the market could shift in favor of LOS. Similarly, strong performance by LOS in earlier matches or positive analyst predictions could also drive price changes. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.