TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 8:14 PM EST
Kalshi
Map 1 of a Valorant esports match between LOUD and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 2026 tournament scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the individual map.
Resolution is based on the official result of map 1 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 2026: LOUD vs. KRÜ Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. If the match or map is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match is cancelled before play begins, the market resolves to fair market price. If the map is cancelled before play begins, the market resolves to fair market price. If a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If a map is forfeited before any play occurs in the map, the market resolves to fair market price. If a map begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction without the vig or house edge, potentially offering a purer probability signal. Comparing this market's implied odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where sharp traders see value or where public perception differs from informed consensus.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last executed trade and the current spread between the highest bid and lowest ask. As new information surfaces—team roster changes, recent form, or analyst commentary—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. Wider spreads indicate lower liquidity, while tighter spreads suggest active trading and confidence in the price discovery process.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the Map 1 result is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result reported by the esports league or tournament organizer. Until that point, traders can buy and sell positions based on their expectations. After resolution, payouts are distributed according to the winning outcome, and the market closes.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, recent scrim results, player performance trends, and tactical adjustments leading up to the match. Injury reports or unexpected roster changes can shift odds sharply. Analyst commentary and community sentiment on social media often precede trader repositioning. Pre-match interviews or team statements about strategy may also influence confidence in each outcome. Monitor esports news outlets and team social channels for breaking updates that could trigger volume spikes and price movement in this market.