TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming college baseball game. Participants predict whether the combined runs will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score of the match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Lotte Giants and KT Wiz in their college baseball game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets resolve based on the official game result, with each threshold representing an independent condition. If the actual total runs meet or exceed a given threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Kalshi, aims to represent the true probability of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of how each venue sets its prices. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total run outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates the cost to take one side of the bet, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final total runs scored in the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Lotte Giants versus KT Wiz game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as reported by a trusted source for KBO game statistics, will determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the total runs will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the game's progress leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Lotte Giants or the KT Wiz could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions at the game location are also a major factor, as rain delays or strong winds can impact scoring. Furthermore, in-game events, such as early scoring or dominant pitching performances, can cause rapid adjustments to the prices as traders react to the unfolding action and reassess the likelihood of different total run outcomes.