TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 8:09 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the margin of victory in a Korea KBO game between Lotte Giants and KT Wiz scheduled for July 3, 2026. Bettors predict whether one team will win by a specified run margin, with separate markets for each team winning by 1.5 or 2.5 runs.
Resolution is determined by the final margin of victory in the Lotte Giants vs KT Wiz Korea KBO game scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The event includes four independent spread markets covering different victory scenarios: KT Wiz winning by more than 2.5 runs, KT Wiz winning by more than 1.5 runs, Lotte Giants winning by more than 1.5 runs, and Lotte Giants winning by more than 2.5 runs. Each market resolves independently based on the final official score differential. The winning team is determined by the higher final run total, and the margin is calculated as the absolute difference between the two teams' scores.
Prediction market odds reflect the collective assessment of informed traders and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they incorporate real-time information and continuous price discovery. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads to balance action and manage risk, this market adjusts dynamically as new data emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on the spread differs from professional oddsmakers, though both aim to reflect the true probability of the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different spread outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the probability traders assign to that result, with contracts ranging from 0 to 100 cents. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move in real time and creating a continuous market that balances supply and demand.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the game concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the actual point spread between the Lotte Giants and KT Wiz, verified against credible public reporting of the final result. Contracts will be settled based on whether the actual margin falls within the specified range, with payouts distributed to holders of the winning contracts.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift market prices significantly. Recent team performance, head-to-head records, and momentum heading into the game also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and any late-breaking news about player availability may prompt rapid repricing. Additionally, as game time approaches and sharper bettors enter the market, prices typically converge toward the true probability, so early and late market prices often differ substantially.