TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 8:13 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team wins by a specific number of runs or more, providing different thresholds for resolution. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Lotte Giants vs Hanwha Eagles Korea KBO game scheduled for September 22, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Hanwha Eagles winning by over 2.5 runs, Hanwha Eagles winning by over 1.5 runs, Lotte Giants winning by over 1.5 runs, and Lotte Giants winning by over 2.5 runs. Each outcome corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified run-differential condition is met. The event uses run differentials as the sole criteria for resolution, with no additional performance or contextual factors considered. All markets are independent, and only the specific condition tied to each market determines its resolution. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, whether the Lotte Giants will win by over 2.5 runs. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and each other's actions, creating a real-time assessment of the potential result of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Lotte Giants versus Hanwha Eagles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the Lotte Giants won the game by more than 2.5 runs. Any adjustments to the official score after the initial reporting will be considered. The final result will determine which contracts pay out and at what value, based on the prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Lotte Giants or the Hanwha Eagles would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, as could any late-breaking analysis from baseball experts. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, even those unrelated to on-field performance, can also impact trading volume and prices. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ chances of winning by the specified spread could move this market.