TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 8:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the combined scoring output in a college baseball game between Lotte Giants and Doosan Bears scheduled for June 30, 2026. Bettors predict whether the total runs scored by both teams will exceed various thresholds throughout the game.
Resolution is determined by the total runs scored by both Lotte Giants and Doosan Bears combined in their college baseball game originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The event includes four distinct resolution thresholds: if combined runs exceed 5.5, if they exceed 7.5, if they exceed 9.5, or if they exceed 11.5. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome, with resolution to Yes occurring when the actual combined final score surpasses the specified run total.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely run total, sometimes signaling value or consensus shifts as game time approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their belief about total runs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a discrete outcome, and the bid-ask spread reflects the market's confidence and liquidity. As new information emerges—team lineups, weather, injury reports—traders adjust their positions, moving the price to reflect updated expectations for the final run count.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the Giants vs Bears game concludes and the final run total is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams across all nine innings. No adjustments are made for extra innings or other complications; the resolution reflects the official final score as reported by the league.
Key catalysts include confirmed lineups and starting pitcher announcements, which shape expectations for offensive output. Weather conditions—wind direction and speed significantly affect fly ball distance—can shift the run total outlook. Injury reports on star hitters or pitchers, recent team form and scoring trends, and any last-minute roster changes will prompt traders to reassess their positions. As game time nears, pregame commentary and betting action on related markets may also influence pricing.