TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 8:19 AM EST
Kalshi
A Korea KBO baseball game between Lotte Giants and Doosan Bears scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the matchup.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Lotte Giants vs Doosan Bears Korea KBO game originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price per the rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves 50/50.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance action and lock in profit; prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of thousands of participants with financial stakes. This market may offer sharper or earlier signals on game outcomes, especially if informed traders spot value that sportsbooks have not yet repriced. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability that outcome will occur, ranging from near-zero to near-100. As new information surfaces—team announcements, weather updates, or betting action—traders adjust their bids and offers, causing the price to move. You can enter limit or market orders to express your view.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team wins the matchup under standard Korean Baseball Organization rules. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as traders reassess probabilities based on pre-game developments and live action. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized and confirmed.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, injury reports, recent team performance streaks, and head-to-head historical trends. Weather conditions and stadium factors can also influence outcomes in baseball. Trading volume and large position changes by informed participants often signal shifting confidence. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting action at major sportsbooks may prompt repricing as well. Any surprise lineup changes or coaching decisions released close to game time could trigger sharp moves in this market.