TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Los Heretics and Barça eSports compete in map 2 of their League of Legends match during the LES 2026 season. The winner of this individual map will be determined by competitive play on July 16, 2026.
Resolution depends on which team wins map 2 of the scheduled match. If the map is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the original start time, or if the match or map is cancelled before play begins, the market resolves to fair market price. If a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If a map is forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to fair market price. However, if a map begins and is subsequently forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this market, comparing the implied probability here to published esports betting lines can reveal where consensus differs. Prediction markets tend to update faster when breaking news or roster changes emerge, making them a useful cross-check against static sportsbook pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the current supply and demand for each side, and prices move in real time as new trades execute. Shares are typically quoted from 0 to 100, where the price represents the implied probability. Tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower trading volume.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the Map 2 result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result reported by the esports league or tournament organizer. Until that point, traders can adjust positions as the event approaches and new information becomes available. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match concludes and the winner is officially announced.
Several factors may shift trader sentiment before resolution. Roster announcements, player injuries, or lineup changes for either team could trigger repricing. Recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and map-specific statistics often influence expectations. Patch updates or game balance changes released before the match may also matter. Pre-match interviews, analyst predictions, and community sentiment can sway the odds as well. Any unexpected news about team preparation or external circumstances could prompt sharp moves in this market.