TOTAL VOLUME:
$143.1b
24H VOL:
$114,515,047
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,676,623,266
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,636,853,979
494,282
Markets across
37,363
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,865
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Los Chankas CYC
- Kalshi
Los Chankas CYC - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 16, 2026
Closed: Oct 16, 6:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Los Chankas CYC will win their professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game against Asociacion Deportiva Tarma. Currently, the probability of Los Chankas CYC winning on Kalshi is 81.0%, with a 14.0% probability of a tie. The market will resolve based on the result of the match as reported by official sources, specifically if Los Chankas CYC wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep a close watch on the match itself, scheduled for October 16, 2026, as that date represents the end of the betting period and will determine the outcome of this market.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Los Chankas CYC versus Asociacion Deportiva Tarma professional soccer match in Peru's Liga 1, scheduled for October 16, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the match concludes as a tie for the Tie market. The event exclusively considers regular time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result, they can express that view by trading in this market, driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. This can create opportunities for arbitrage or informed speculation.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Los Chankas CYC versus Asociacion Deportiva Tarma match in the Peruvian Primera División. The official league standings and match reports will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Los Chankas CYC or Asociacion Deportiva Tarma would likely have an impact. Additionally, updates on player form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could sway traders' opinions. Unexpected results in other matches that affect league standings or team motivation could also contribute to movement in this market.