TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata?

Volume:
$3,403,848

Denis Shapovalov

 - Kalshi

Denis Shapovalov - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 2:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Denis Shapovalov

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,759,445
N/A
N/A
$740,387
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$475,978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,874
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 22.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$745
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 23.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Total Sets: O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rinky Hijikata

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,155,824
N/A
N/A
$535,813
Settled
No
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Rinky Hijikata at the 2026 Los Cabos Open Round Of 32. The aggregated consensus probability for Shapovalov to win stands at 100.0%, drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official ATP Tour statistics. Watch for the match conclusion on August 3, 2026, which will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on using ATP Tour official statistics for resolution, with consistent handling of cancellations, delays, and incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner markets resolve to the player who advances, with 50-50 for cancellations, retirements, or walkovers
  • Set and game total markets resolve based on completed games/sets; incomplete matches resolve 50-50
  • Handicap markets resolve based on final set difference, with 50-50 for incomplete matches

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match cancellation: All markets resolve 50-50 unless a set is already completed with a determined winner
  • Retirement/walkover: Match winner resolves to the advancing player; all other markets resolve 50-50
  • Tiebreak rules: Tiebreaks count as one game toward total game counts in all over/under markets
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after official ATP statistics are published post-matchOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Rinky Hijikata in the Los Cabos Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Rinky Hijikata. This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Denis Shapovalov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a specific professional tennis match between two players in the 2026 ATP Los Cabos Round of 32, resolving based on who claims victory after at least one ball has been played. If the match fails to commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellations before any play occurs, the market resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays do not close the market immediately; it remains open and settles only after the rescheduled match concludes, with a two-week window for completion. The market operates independently of official league affiliations, and all branding remains property of respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Los Cabos Open tennis match aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of each outcome. It displays total volume of $3,403,848 and 24-hour volume at $3,365,009, letting you see where interest is concentrated across platforms. The view updates continuously, reflecting the latest consensus on this market as bets are placed and new information emerges.