TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 1:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Arthur Gea will win the tennis match against Denis Shapovalov at the Los Cabos Open on Polymarket, with the current probability set at 100.0%. Resolution will be based on official results from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match is scheduled to conclude by August 9, 2026, and any updates to the event timing will be crucial for final settlement.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Denis Shapovalov in the Los Cabos Open, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect the collective wisdom of participating traders, who continuously adjust prices based on new information and shifting expectations. These odds may diverge from traditional sportsbook lines, which are set by professional oddsmakers and often include a house edge. Traders in this market can exploit differences between the two, as Polymarket prices evolve with real-time betting activity rather than fixed benchmarks.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on that verified data.