TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 7:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Los Angeles or Kansas City specifically within the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team in that quarter for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets evaluate whether Kansas City or Los Angeles wins the fourth quarter of their scheduled football game by exceeding specific point differentials. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation time, with overtime points excluded from calculation. Each market has a distinct threshold—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—for the winning team to meet or surpass. If the winning team in the fourth quarter meets or exceeds the specified margin for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The outcomes are independent of the overall game result, focusing solely on fourth-quarter performance.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and point-differential in the 4th quarter will settle all positions, closing the market once official box scores are published and widely confirmed across sports news outlets.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or strategic coaching decisions could all shift this market as the game draws near. High-profile analyst debates and pre-game betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster changes or surprise starter announcements often produce sharp price swings, making this market responsive to real-time NFL news right up until kickoff.