TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 4:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on how much Kansas City dominates Los Angeles in the first quarter. Wagers are placed on whether Kansas City’s point differential will surpass various margins, with higher margins offering greater challenges.
The market resolves based on the point differential by which Kansas City wins the first quarter of the specified football game. Each rule defines a different winning margin threshold for Kansas City, and the market resolves to Yes if Kansas City wins by more than that threshold. If Los Angeles wins or the differential does not meet the threshold, the market resolves to No. Only points scored in the first quarter count.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding, with the current odds reflecting the aggregated expectations of all participants. The top outcome’s implied probability is displayed as a percentage, and volume shows how much has traded so far. Prices adjust instantly with new bets, capturing the latest consensus among active market users for this specific quarter spread.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter will be compared to the listed spread to determine which side of the market was correct.
Key performances in the first few drives, injuries to star players, weather changes, and coaching strategies can all shift this market. Any sudden momentum swing—whether a big play, turnover, or penalty—may cause rapid re-pricing as traders react. Public betting trends and early-game statistics will also influence how odds evolve leading up to Aug 15, 2026.