TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 11:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on determining whether one team significantly outperforms the other in the final quarter of an upcoming football game. Each market specifies a different point differential threshold that must be met or exceeded by either Los Angeles or Houston to resolve as 'Yes'.
These markets assess how decisively either Los Angeles or Houston wins the fourth quarter of their scheduled Pro Football game on August 13, 2026, with various point differential thresholds. For any market to resolve to 'Yes,' the named team must win the fourth quarter by more than the specified margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—and all point calculations exclude any overtime periods. The outcome hinges solely on points scored during regulation fourth-quarter play, meaning overtime scores are disregarded entirely. Each market operates independently, with its own threshold, allowing participants to speculate on the magnitude of one team's fourth-quarter dominance over the other.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the fourth quarter will be calculated and matched against market positions to determine winners, based on officially recorded game statistics.
Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, strategic coaching decisions, and momentum swings seen in earlier game quarters. Any unexpected performance changes or referee decisions in the fourth quarter itself may also cause rapid price adjustments. Traders on Kalshi will monitor live game updates closely, as each significant play can influence expectations for the final spread.