TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming women's professional basketball game between Los Angeles and Dallas. Each outcome represents a different margin of victory for either team, allowing participants to speculate on the expected competitiveness of the match.
All markets resolve based on the final point differential of the Los Angeles vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for September 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team's margin of victory exceeds the specified threshold for that market—from 1.5 points up to 18.5 points, depending on the market. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes within two days of its original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. Often, you'll find this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Los Angeles versus Dallas game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular spread, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread established during the game will be compared against the contracts offered on Kalshi to determine winning and losing positions. Resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NFL, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders will be able to see their positions settled based on this official outcome shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Los Angeles or Dallas teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could indirectly influence trading on Kalshi.