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Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Los Angeles Sparks vs Washington Mystics?

Volume:
$3,189,990

Washington

 - Kalshi

Washington - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 9:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Washington

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,757,450
N/A
N/A
$854,691
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$159,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rae Burrell: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Los Angeles

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$800,352
N/A
N/A
$390,823
Settled
No
polymarket

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232,206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 171.5

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 172.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 173.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cameron Brink: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 175.5

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cameron Brink: Points O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cameron Brink: Points O/U 8.5

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 15.5

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.5

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ariel Atkins: Rebounds O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 8.5

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ariel Atkins: Points O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 6.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rae Burrell: Rebounds O/U 2.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 3.5

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ariel Atkins: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks whether Nneka Ogwumike will score over or under 15.5 points in the WNBA game between the Los Angeles Sparks and the Washington Mystics. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, Points O/U 15.5, is 100.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolutions sourced from wnba.com. Watch for the game outcome on August 15, as this will determine the market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure mismatch between three-outcome (Polymarket) and binary (Kalshi) formats creates resolution ambiguityHero tip: Verify Kalshi's historical resolution mapping for team names to binary outcomes, and monitor for official game status updates from WNBA sources

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-outcome market resolving to team name or 50-50 for canceled games: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market without team-specific mapping: "If Washington wins... market resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles wins... market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 15 at 7:30PM ET: If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the women's professional basketball game between Los Angeles and Washington scheduled for August 15, 2026. If Washington wins the game as scheduled, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Los Angeles wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond the two-day window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates activity across multiple venues for the WNBA championship race, showing real-time volume of $3,189,990 and 24-hour volume of $3,167,191. It visualizes how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various outcomes, offering a consensus view of market sentiment and highlighting any notable shifts in expectations as the season progresses.