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399,592

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2,622

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5

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Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo
kalshi
polymarket

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo

Volume:
$1,198,074

O/U 179.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 179.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 179.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$298,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 193.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$115,983
N/A
N/A
$60,967
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 196.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$90,202
N/A
N/A
$40,932
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 181.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$77,897
N/A
N/A
$46,203
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 181.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$44,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 180.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$52,587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 190.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,111
N/A
N/A
$25,229
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 212.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,948
N/A
N/A
$18,107
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 200.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38,422
N/A
N/A
$17,457
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 202.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,027
N/A
N/A
$17,800
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 198.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,253
N/A
N/A
$19,003
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 178.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,190
N/A
N/A
$15,826
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 206.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,030
N/A
N/A
$14,844
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 208.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,742
N/A
N/A
$11,205
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 210.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,553
N/A
N/A
$9,428
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 204.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,235
N/A
N/A
$12,437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 184.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,339
N/A
N/A
$8,874
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 172.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,310
N/A
N/A
$11,711
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 187.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,411
N/A
N/A
$6,514
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 175.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,396
N/A
N/A
$7,663
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 218.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,548
N/A
N/A
$1,451
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 216.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,008
N/A
N/A
$1,454
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 214.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$993
N/A
N/A
$781
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 186.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 185.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event group covers a WNBA game between the Los Angeles Sparks and Toronto Tempo scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Kalshi offers nine over/under markets on combined team points (thresholds ranging from 172.5 to 196.5), while Polymarket offers a head-to-head winner-take-all market. These are fundamentally different event types with no logical overlap.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market type divergence: Kalshi offers totals (combined points over/under), Polymarket offers moneyline (winner). Both depend on the same game outcome but measure different dimensions.Hero tip: Do not treat these as competing markets. A single game outcome (e.g., Sparks win 95-88, total 183 points) can simultaneously resolve YES on Kalshi 181.5+ and YES on Polymarket Sparks. Monitor both for independent trading opportunities. Confirm game is played and not canceled before final settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Nine independent over/under markets on combined team points. Thresholds: 172.5, 175.5, 178.5, 181.5, 184.5, 187.5, 190.5, 193.5, 196.5. Each resolves YES if combined score exceeds threshold, NO otherwise. All reference the same June 25, 2026 game.
  • Polymarket: Single winner-take-all market. Resolves to Los Angeles Sparks, Toronto Tempo, or 50-50 (if canceled). Resolves based on final score including overtime. Remains open if postponed until game is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for June 25 at 7:00PM ET: If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The Los Angeles vs Toronto women's professional basketball game scheduled for June 25, 2026 will be resolved based on the combined final score of both teams. Resolution occurs if the total points scored exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 172.5 to 196.5 points, in 3-point increments. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome, allowing bettors to wager on different scoring scenarios. The official final score as recorded by the league will determine resolution. If the game is postponed or cancelled, standard sports betting rules regarding rescheduled events apply.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation to discover consensus probability. This market reflects what traders collectively believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing this market's implied odds to major sportsbook spreads can highlight inefficiencies or confirm alignment between professional and decentralized pricing.

Polymarket and Kalshi serve distinct trader bases with different liquidity profiles, fee structures, and regulatory frameworks. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket's order-book model and Kalshi's binary contract design can produce varying price discovery speeds, especially in lower-volume events. Differences in user demographics, platform incentives, and settlement timing also contribute. Monitoring both venues helps you identify arbitrage opportunities or confirm which platform's price better reflects consensus as the event approaches.