TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:57 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track offensive performance thresholds for both teams in an upcoming football game. They focus on whether each team achieves specific yardage milestones, reflecting potential game dynamics and team strategies.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Los Angeles R or Denver in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) for each team, and resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team meets or exceeds its threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders, and prices more closely reflect true probabilities, though discrepancies can occur. It’s common to see prediction markets as more accurate forecasters, especially when considering the influence of public sentiment and potential biases present in sportsbook lines. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expected game performance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total yardage ranges for the teams involved. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the most likely total yardage. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments to expectations as new information becomes available, such as injury reports or weather forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official team total yardage statistics from the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as recorded by the NFL's official statistics, will determine which contracts payout and at what value. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and reliable outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics following the game's completion.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Key player injuries to quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers would likely cause substantial shifts in expectations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the teams' offensive strategies and yardage totals. Late-breaking news regarding coaching decisions or team dynamics could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can influence trading activity and price movements within this market.