TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players will run with the ball during an upcoming football game between Los Angeles and Denver. Each market focuses on a different player and a different minimum number of rushing attempts needed for the market to settle as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players in the Los Angeles R vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the specified number of rushing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance metrics.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing attempt totals, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a certain outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official rushing attempt totals for the Los Angeles R versus Denver game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL, and the market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total rushing attempts. All open contracts will be settled accordingly at that time, reflecting the accuracy of the market’s predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather forecasts also play a role, as inclement weather often leads to a greater emphasis on the running game. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or player matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on rushing attempts is key to understanding how this market might evolve.