TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:55 PM EST
Kalshi
The upcoming football game between Los Angeles R and Denver will feature multiple players from both teams competing to score the first touchdown for their respective sides. Each player’s market will resolve based on whether they manage to be the first to cross the goal line for Los Angeles R.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player scores the first touchdown for Los Angeles R in the game. If the player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once the player takes a snap, the market settles based on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Los Angeles R touchdowns are scored, the No Los Angeles R Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all other player markets resolve to No.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows for a more direct expression of probability. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and can serve as a useful benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies between the two can present potential trading opportunities, as market participants weigh different information and perspectives on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific team will score the first touchdown, the price of those contracts increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates the volume of contracts available at different price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind various predictions. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the game between Los Angeles R and Denver. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. The outcome will be determined by the official record of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Los Angeles R or Denver would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor a specific team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely outcome could sway market sentiment and influence the price of contracts.