TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Los Angeles Galaxy and St. Louis City SC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Galaxy" if Los Angeles Galaxy score more goals than St. Louis City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Los Angeles Galaxy and St. Louis City SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC score more goals than Los Angeles Galaxy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Los Angeles Galaxy and St. Louis City SC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Galaxy" if Los Angeles Galaxy score more goals than St. Louis City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Los Angeles Galaxy and St. Louis City SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC score more goals than Los Angeles Galaxy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have direct financial exposure to accuracy. This market aggregates trader conviction in real time, which can lead to sharper or earlier price discovery than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception and market-derived probability differ most.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into continuous odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the current balance of capital wagered on each outcome; as more traders back one result, its odds shift upward and competing outcomes decline. This mechanism ensures liquidity and allows you to trade at any time without waiting for a counterparty, with the spread between bid and ask prices reflecting the market's current uncertainty.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the second half result is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result reported by the league or authoritative sports data providers. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as new information and developments influence their expectations of how the second half will unfold.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff. In-game developments—goals, red cards, momentum shifts, or weather conditions—will drive significant repricing once the match begins. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one outcome can also signal shifting expectations. Real-time commentary and live score updates will influence trader sentiment, causing rapid price swings as the second half unfolds and the probability of each outcome becomes clearer.