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405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC?

Volume:
$1,499,604

Saint Louis

 - Kalshi

Saint Louis - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 12:41 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saint Louis

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$373,561
N/A
N/A
$228,424
Settled
Yes
polymarket

St. Louis City SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$76,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Los Angeles G

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$606,617
N/A
N/A
$423,020
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$222,199
N/A
N/A
$128,298
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Los Angeles Galaxy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Los Angeles Galaxy and St. Louis City SC. The aggregated consensus probability for a Los Angeles Galaxy win stands at 99.0%. Data is aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official MLS statistics and match records. Watch for the match conclusion on July 22, 2026, which will determine the final result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent treatment of postponements (markets remain open) and cancellations (Galaxy/City wins resolve No, draw resolves Yes).Primary resolution logic: Official MLS statistics and match records (mlssoccer.com); if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may substitute.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match resolves based on result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Los Angeles Galaxy win (Yes/No), draw (Yes/No), or St. Louis City SC win (Yes/No).
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled: Galaxy win market resolves No, City win market resolves No, draw market resolves Yes.
  • Official final result as declared by MLS governing body is binding; post-resolution score revisions are not recognized.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed to a later date, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed and a final result is available.
  • Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Galaxy win and City win markets resolve to No, while the draw market resolves to Yes.
  • Source delay: If MLS does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may proceed using consensus from credible reporting sources.
  • Post-resolution score revision: Any official score revisions made after market resolution are not recognized; the declared final result at time of resolution is binding.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official MLS statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets settle immediately upon result confirmation.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between Los Angeles Galaxy and St. Louis City SC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the result of the professional MLS soccer match between Los Angeles Galaxy and Saint Louis originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The match has three possible outcomes: Los Angeles Galaxy victory, Saint Louis victory, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Galaxy vs. City SC match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading venues for event forecasting. Traders on both platforms are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with combined volume reflecting real-time consensus. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each venue's participants assess the likely result, offering insight into where smart money is positioning ahead of kickoff. By tracking both venues simultaneously, you gain a fuller picture of market sentiment than any single platform alone provides.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus—each participant's stake directly influences the odds. This often makes prediction markets more responsive to new information and less subject to the house edge built into sportsbook spreads. Many traders use both sources to identify value; if a prediction market price diverges significantly from a sportsbook line, it may signal an opportunity. Neither is inherently more accurate, but they reflect different incentive structures.

Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, especially for star players or defensive starters. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Betting market activity and sharp action on external sportsbooks often precedes movement here. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and mid-season roster changes can also shift sentiment. Major news—such as a coach change or a player suspension—typically triggers sharp repricing. As the match date approaches, odds tend to tighten and become more stable, reflecting a clearer consensus among informed traders.