TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Sporting Kansas City
Volume:
$323,806
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Sporting Kansas City MLS soccer match scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets track whether Kansas City wins, Los Angeles wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling. Polymarket explicitly resolves the Draw market to Yes if the game is canceled with no makeup, while Win markets resolve No. Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, leaving resolution undefined in that scenario.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any MLS schedule changes or cancellation announcements before March 14, 2026. If cancellation occurs with no makeup game, Polymarket traders holding the Draw market will see Yes resolution while Win market holders see No—creating a partial payout scenario. Kalshi's lack of cancellation guidance means that platform may delay or dispute resolution. Hedge by clarifying cancellation policy with both platforms in writing.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation rules. SKC Win and LAG Win resolve No if canceled with no makeup. Draw resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (Draw market); 'this market will resolve "No"' (Win markets).
- Kalshi: Three yes/no outcomes (Tie, Kansas City win, Los Angeles win) presented as trifecta logic. No explicit cancellation clause provided. All three resolve to Yes if their respective outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation scenario is unaddressed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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