TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
$
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, the Los Angeles Galaxy or the Portland Timbers, will score more goals in the second half of a Major League Soccer (MLS) match, or if the second half will end in a draw. The markets specifically exclude first-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs, focusing solely on regulation second-half play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming MLS game between Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Galaxy" if Los Angeles Galaxy score more goals than Portland Timbers in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Portland Timbers" if Portland Timbers score more goals than Los Angeles Galaxy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Galaxy" if Los Angeles Galaxy score more goals than Portland Timbers in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Portland Timbers" if Portland Timbers score more goals than Los Angeles Galaxy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts. The collective intelligence on Polymarket and Predict can sometimes identify mispricings that sportsbooks miss. However, sportsbooks have access to different information, such as injury reports and team news, that may not be immediately reflected in prediction market prices. Comparing the two can offer a more nuanced understanding of the likely outcome.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market design. Each platform attracts a different set of traders with potentially varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and price discovery on each platform can lead to discrepancies. For example, Polymarket may have higher trading fees or different margin requirements, influencing how traders position themselves. These factors contribute to the observed price differences.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the second half of the Los Angeles Galaxy versus Portland Timbers match will determine the outcome. Traders will be looking for official sources to verify the final score and determine which outcome is the winner. The market’s resolution will be based on the official result of the game, as reported by recognized sports authorities.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Galaxy or the Timbers would likely cause price movement. Significant changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Furthermore, in-game events during the first half, such as early goals or red cards, could trigger substantial shifts in trading activity and the price of this market. Unexpected tactical decisions by either team’s coach could also be a catalyst.