TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 10:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 10:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Galaxy" if Los Angeles Galaxy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles FC" if Los Angeles FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 10:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Galaxy" if Los Angeles Galaxy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles FC" if Los Angeles FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. Traders here have direct financial exposure to accuracy, which can surface insights that sportsbooks price differently. Comparing the two reveals where the crowd on Polymarket sees edge relative to conventional betting markets, though both should inform rather than replace your own analysis.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the collective confidence of all active traders at that moment. Higher prices indicate stronger consensus that an outcome will occur, while lower prices suggest skepticism. As new information surfaces—team lineups, injury reports, or betting momentum—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift dynamically until market close.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal scorer is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting from the match itself. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on team news, player availability, and trader positioning. Early goals or red cards during the match can trigger sharp repricing as the probability of remaining outcomes shifts.
Key catalysts include official team lineups and injury announcements, which reshape expectations around which players are available to score. Tactical changes, managerial decisions, or surprise roster rotations can shift odds significantly. Historical head-to-head form, recent goal-scoring trends, and set-piece specialists also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and venue factors closer to kickoff may prompt repricing. Real-time match events—early chances, fouls, or momentum swings—will drive the sharpest moves once play begins.