TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 12:54 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Los Angeles Galaxy and FC Dallas, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Galaxy" if Los Angeles Galaxy score more goals than FC Dallas in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Los Angeles Galaxy and FC Dallas score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Dallas" if FC Dallas score more goals than Los Angeles Galaxy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Los Angeles Galaxy and FC Dallas, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Galaxy" if Los Angeles Galaxy score more goals than FC Dallas in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Los Angeles Galaxy and FC Dallas score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Dallas" if FC Dallas score more goals than Los Angeles Galaxy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real money at stake. Traders in this market are motivated to price outcomes accurately to profit, which can lead to sharper, more efficient pricing than traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds benefit from professional oddsmakers and deep liquidity, so neither venue is universally more accurate. Comparing the two can reveal valuable insights into where smart money is positioned on the second-half result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of all traders participating in the market at any given moment. As traders buy shares of one outcome, its price rises; as they sell, it falls. This continuous price discovery process ensures that the market price converges toward the true probability of the second-half result. The more traders participate and the more volume traded, the more efficient and reliable the pricing becomes.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by the official final score and result of the second half as reported by the league or authoritative sports data providers. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution timing depends on when the match ends and the result is confirmed, so monitor the event closely as the date approaches to ensure you're aware of any schedule changes.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before it resolves. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers significant price movement. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and media coverage can influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form of both squads are also closely watched. As the match approaches, any official confirmations about starting lineups or late roster decisions typically cause volatility. Once the first half concludes, traders will reassess based on actual performance, momentum, and halftime adjustments, which could substantially reprrice expectations for the second-half outcome.