TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 12:48 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 1 at 10:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 1 at 10:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. This market aggregates the beliefs of thousands of independent forecasters, which can reveal insights that sportsbooks have not yet priced in—or conversely, may lag behind sharp sportsbook movement. Comparing the two can highlight where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree most sharply.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously based on trader buy and sell orders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the collective probability assigned by all active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the contract price moves in real time. Liquidity providers help ensure tight spreads, and the transparent order book allows you to see exactly where buyers and sellers stand at any moment.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score and any official match records recognized by the relevant sports authorities. Until that point, traders can buy and sell contracts based on their forecast of how the event will unfold, with prices fluctuating as new developments—team news, injury reports, or pre-match analysis—become available.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form or head-to-head records. Tactical shifts, managerial decisions, and travel or weather conditions can all influence trader expectations. Social media sentiment, expert punditry, and shifts in sportsbook odds often trigger repricing on this market as well. As match day draws closer, late-breaking updates—such as last-minute roster changes or venue adjustments—tend to drive the most volatile price swings.