TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 12:38 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Los Angeles G and Colorado. Each market corresponds to a specific winning margin threshold for either team. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Los Angeles G versus Colorado professional MLS soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Los Angeles G wins by more than 2.5 goals under Rule 1, or by more than 1.5 goals under Rule 2. Conversely, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Colorado wins by more than 1.5 goals under Rule 3, or by more than 2.5 goals under Rule 4. No market considers results from extra time, penalty kicks, or any post-regulation proceedings. All markets operate independently, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs directly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome and identify potential value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Los Angeles vs Colorado spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, driving the price towards an equilibrium that reflects the overall market sentiment. The more a particular outcome is believed to be likely, the higher its contract price will be.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the game between Los Angeles and Colorado. The market will settle based on the actual point difference between the two teams at the conclusion of the game, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 27, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Los Angeles or Colorado would likely cause significant shifts in the spread. Unexpected news regarding team strategies, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other games involving these teams, or changes in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential shifts in the perceived probability of different outcomes.