This market group covers a professional MLS soccer match between Los Angeles FC and St. Louis City SC scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals (over/under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), both teams scoring, and various point spreads for goal-differential outcomes.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same official resolution source (mlssoccer.com final score), the same time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time only), and identical handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS final score published on mlssoccer.com
Core resolution logic:
Over/Under 1.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2
Over/Under 2.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3
Over/Under 3.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4
Over/Under 4.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5
Both Teams to Score: Resolves Yes if both teams score >= 1 goal each, No if either team scores 0
Spread LAFC (-1.5): Resolves LAFC if LAFC wins by >= 2 goals, otherwise St. Louis City SC
Spread St. Louis City SC (-1.5): Resolves St. Louis City SC if they win by >= 2 goals, otherwise LAFC
Spread LAFC (-2.5): Resolves LAFC if LAFC wins by >= 3 goals, otherwise St. Louis City SC
Spread St. Louis City SC (-2.5): Resolves St. Louis City SC if they win by >= 3 goals, otherwise LAFC
All resolution calculations use only the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a rescheduled date. Resolution then follows the official final score on that date.
Game Cancellation (No Make-Up): All markets in this group resolve 50-50 (split evenly between Yes and No outcomes).
Incomplete Match: If the game starts but is abandoned before completion, resolution is based on the official final score published by MLS at the time of abandonment, covering only the minutes played within the 90-minute plus stoppage-time window.
Extra Time and Penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from all market resolutions. Only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the official final score is published on mlssoccer.com following the conclusion of the match on March 14, 2026 (or its rescheduled date if postponed).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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