TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Los Angeles FC and Sporting Kansas City, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles FC" if Los Angeles FC score more goals than Sporting Kansas City in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Los Angeles FC and Sporting Kansas City score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City" if Sporting Kansas City score more goals than Los Angeles FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Los Angeles FC and Sporting Kansas City, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles FC" if Los Angeles FC score more goals than Sporting Kansas City in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Los Angeles FC and Sporting Kansas City score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City" if Sporting Kansas City score more goals than Los Angeles FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction about the second-half result, which may differ from sportsbook pricing due to timing, information asymmetries, or differences in how each venue weights recent team form and tactical adjustments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible second-half outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As new trades flow in, the price adjusts dynamically, ensuring the market continuously incorporates fresh signals and participant conviction about which team will prevail in the second half.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score at the end of regulation play in the second half, with no ambiguity about which team emerged ahead. Resolution happens automatically once the event is confirmed, ensuring all traders receive payouts based on the verified result.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before and during the match. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers repricing as traders update their forecasts. Early first-half momentum and score can significantly influence second-half expectations, since trailing teams may adopt more aggressive strategies while leaders may sit deeper. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and any controversial calls during the first half can also sway sentiment. Real-time performance metrics and substitution patterns will continue to move the market as the match unfolds.