TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake?

Volume:
$2,660,804

Los Angeles F

 - Kalshi

Los Angeles F - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 12:41 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Los Angeles F

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,253,036
N/A
N/A
$867,089
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Angeles FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$473,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Salt Lake

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$566,420
N/A
N/A
$364,295
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$275,102
N/A
N/A
$212,269
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Salt Lake

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Major League Soccer match between Los Angeles FC and Real Salt Lake. The aggregated consensus probability for Los Angeles FC to win stands at 99.0%. Data is drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official MLS statistics. The match result will be determined following the end of regular play plus stoppage time on July 22, 2026, and markets resolve according to the official final match result as recognized by MLS.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, official MLS statistics as primary source, consistent treatment of postponement and cancellation scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official MLS statistics (mlssoccer.com) as recognized by the governing body; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
  • LAFC Win market resolves Yes if LAFC wins, No otherwise.
  • Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise.
  • RSL Win market resolves Yes if RSL wins, No otherwise.
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If match is canceled with no make-up game: LAFC Win resolves No, RSL Win resolves No, Draw resolves Yes.
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining outcome.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed and a final result is available.
  • Cancellation without make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, LAFC Win and RSL Win resolve to No, while Draw resolves to Yes.
  • Score revision after resolution: Any revisions to the officially declared final score made after market resolution will not be used to alter the outcome.
  • Resolution source delay: If MLS official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used for resolution.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official MLS statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets settle based on the official final result as recognized by MLS and the governing body.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between Los Angeles FC and Real Salt Lake.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the result of the professional MLS soccer match between Los Angeles FC and Salt Lake originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The match has three possible outcomes: Los Angeles FC victory, Salt Lake victory, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the LAFC vs. Real Salt Lake match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading venues for event forecasting. Traders on both platforms are pricing the outcome of this matchup in real time, allowing you to monitor consensus odds and compare how each community values the competing outcomes. The combined volume across these platforms reflects active interest in the event. You can track how odds shift as game day approaches and new information emerges, giving you a transparent view of where the prediction market stands relative to traditional sportsbooks.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders competing for profit, which can reveal a crowd-sourced probability estimate. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, whereas a sportsbook's line reflects both probability and the house's desired action. Comparing the two can highlight where the prediction market consensus diverges from traditional betting lines, sometimes revealing value or consensus shifts.

Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any changes to venue or match conditions. Media coverage and expert analysis can shift trader sentiment, as can unexpected developments in either team's season trajectory. Betting action from sharp traders or large institutions may also move odds significantly. Weather forecasts, referee assignments, and tactical adjustments revealed in pre-match press conferences can all influence how traders reassess the probabilities. Monitor official team communications and sports news outlets for developments that could reshape the market's pricing before the final whistle.