TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple betting markets on the March 7, 2026 MLS match between Los Angeles FC and FC Dallas. Markets include total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), both teams to score, and margin-of-victory spreads. All markets resolve based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market scope divergence: Polymarket offers total goals and both-teams-to-score markets, while Kalshi offers only margin-of-victory markets. Both use the same underlying match result but measure different outcomes.Hero Tip:
Recognize these as separate market categories. A single match result (e.g., 2-1) will produce different resolutions across platforms. Polymarket traders focus on goal volume and scoring distribution; Kalshi traders focus on win margin magnitude. Cross-platform arbitrage is not applicable here.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Resolves on combined goal totals (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) and whether both teams score. Resolution source: mlssoccer.com official final score. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation: 50-50 split if no makeup game.Kalshi:
Resolves on goal differential magnitude (LAFC or Dallas win by >1.5 or >2.5 goals). Resolution source: official MLS match result. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. No explicit cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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