TOTAL VOLUME:
$105.4b
24H VOL:
$181,126,936
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,102,972,840
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,158,449,776
234,020
Markets across
22,597
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,647
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
44%
VS.
Kalshi:
56%
Time left: 06d:01h:39m
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This event is for the upcoming Leagues Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 5, 2026 between Los Angeles FC and CD Guadalajara.
This event is for the upcoming Leagues Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 5, 2026 between Los Angeles FC and CD Guadalajara.
The market resolves based on the result of the Los Angeles F vs Guadalajara professional Leagues Cup soccer game scheduled for August 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Los Angeles F wins, that market resolves to Yes. If Guadalajara wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the rules.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect sharper, more granular probabilities than traditional sportsbook lines, especially for niche match-ups like this one. Traders can react faster to new information, and the decentralized nature of platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi can produce prices that diverge from sportsbooks by 43.0 points or more.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Market prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity levels, and trading activity. Each platform attracts distinct participants, which may skew probabilities toward certain outcomes. For example, Polymarket currently favors Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-05? at 85.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Los Angeles F vs Guadalajara Winner? at 42.0%. These divergences often reflect regional biases, recent news coverage, or varying levels of public interest on each venue.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result — a win for either team or a draw — as reported through authoritative sports news outlets and league records after the game concludes. Traders can track confirmed results through real-time score updates and post-match reports to see the market settle.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions that affect gameplay can all shift this market. High-profile media coverage or pre-match betting trends on either platform may also influence probabilities. As the match nears, any update that alters the perceived likelihood of a win, loss, or draw — such as lineup announcements or recent team performance — is likely to create movement in the odds on both Polymarket and Kalshi.