TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
$
This prediction market group concerns the outcome of the second half of an MLS soccer match between Los Angeles FC and Austin FC. Users are predicting which team will win the second half, or if the result will be a draw, based on goals scored during regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming MLS game between Los Angeles FC and Austin FC, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles FC" if Los Angeles FC score more goals than Austin FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Los Angeles FC and Austin FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Austin FC" if Austin FC score more goals than Los Angeles FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Los Angeles FC and Austin FC, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles FC" if Los Angeles FC score more goals than Austin FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Los Angeles FC and Austin FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Austin FC" if Austin FC score more goals than Los Angeles FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and differing incentives. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This market’s odds reflect the aggregated insight of participants who have skin in the game, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. However, sportsbook odds benefit from established risk management and may react faster to breaking news. The current volume on this market is $61.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Predict for the LAFC vs. Austin FC second half can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Polymarket currently favors Los Angeles FC vs. Austin FC: Second half draw? at 100.0%, while Predict leans toward Los Angeles FC vs. Austin FC: Second half draw? at 99.0%. Furthermore, differing liquidity and trading fees can also influence price discrepancies. The volume of trading on each platform, currently $225, also plays a role in price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the LAFC vs. Austin FC second half – whether LAFC wins, Austin FC wins, or the half ends in a draw – will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand how this market will be settled. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome based on the actual event results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either LAFC or Austin FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the probabilities. Furthermore, any major tactical adjustments announced by either team’s coach could influence trader sentiment. Even significant shifts in public opinion, driven by social media or expert analysis, can cause movement in this market as traders adjust their predictions.