TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 1.5 total goals will be scored in the Los Angeles F vs New York RB professional MLS soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 1.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the outcome of the game as defined by whether over 1.5 goals are scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and will not include extra time or penalties. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve following the conclusion of the Los Angeles F vs New York RB match originally scheduled for September 9, 2026, with final resolution occurring by September 10, 2026.
Each market resolves to Yes if the total goals scored in the Los Angeles F vs New York RB professional MLS soccer game, originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties), exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individual traders, can sometimes offer more accurate predictions, especially as new information emerges. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately assess the likelihood of each outcome, as their profits depend on correctly predicting the final total goals. The more traders who believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Los Angeles F vs New York RB match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome and settling all outstanding contracts on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either LAFC or NYRB would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Additionally, any pre-match analysis highlighting tactical changes or potential scoring opportunities could shift trader sentiment and drive price fluctuations in this market.