TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Los Angeles F
- Kalshi
Los Angeles F - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 15, 2026
Time left: 01h:00m:16s
$
This market tracks whether Los Angeles F will win their professional MLS soccer game against Austin. Currently, Kalshi gives Los Angeles F a 60.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 27.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 14, 2026, as the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time will determine the outcome of this market.
The market resolves based on the result of the Los Angeles F vs Austin professional MLS soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Los Angeles F resolves the 'Los Angeles F' market to Yes; a win for Austin resolves the 'Austin' market to Yes; a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in early trading, as the market digests information and adjusts expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated belief of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means that the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand, providing a real-time indication of the perceived likelihood of each possible result in the Los Angeles F vs Austin match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Los Angeles F vs Austin match as reported by a trusted source. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result, allowing for continuous learning and refinement of predictive models for future events.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Los Angeles F or Austin teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team strategy, weather conditions, or even significant pre-match commentary from analysts could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements related to team dynamics or coaching changes could also be catalysts. As the event draws closer, any updates on player availability or performance will be closely watched by traders, leading to adjustments in the probabilities reflected in the market.