TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Volume:
$12,905,522

Los Angeles D

 - Kalshi

Los Angeles D - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 10:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Los Angeles D

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,607,116
N/A
N/A
$3,070,838
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,432,525
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pittsburgh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,451,941
N/A
N/A
$2,198,345
Settled
No
predict

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

View
N/A
N/A
—
$973
$52,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$175,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$39,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$36,829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$12,638
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$4,286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$2,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,644
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks whether the June 11, 2026 MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates will extend beyond nine innings. Across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, the consensus probability that the game goes to extra innings stands at 98.0%, according to official MLB statistics as the resolution source. Watch for the final out on June 11, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET to determine whether the game concludes in regulation or advances to extra innings.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's winner market contains incomplete resolution logic that fails to specify a No condition or handle edge cases, while Polymarket and Predict provide identical, complete criteria. The Kalshi market is logically ambiguous rather than contradictory to the other platforms, but represents a data integrity gap.Hero tip: Polymarket and Predict markets are safe to trade—they share identical unified resolution rules. Avoid the Kalshi winner market due to missing resolution pathways. If trading first-inning run markets, use Polymarket only, as other platforms do not offer this sub-market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Game winner resolves to Los Angeles Dodgers or Pittsburgh Pirates based on final game outcome. Postponements keep market open until completion. Cancellations, no make-up games, or ties resolve 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: States 'If Pittsburgh wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Los Angeles D wins...resolves to Yes' with no explicit No condition, tie handling, or cancellation clause. Resolution logic is incomplete and ambiguous.
  • Predict: Game winner resolves to Los Angeles Dodgers or Pittsburgh Pirates based on final game outcome. Postponements keep market open until completion. Cancellations, no make-up games, or ties resolve 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours or credible reporting consensus. Identical to Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 11 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Los Angeles D vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 11, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 11 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict serve different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures. Polymarket may attract larger institutional traders and show deeper liquidity on major sports events, while Predict may have distinct user bases with different risk appetites or information access. Differences in order-book depth, platform UI, and promotional incentives can also cause temporary price divergence. These gaps typically narrow closer to game time as arbitrageurs exploit mispricings, but they offer opportunities for traders to identify undervalued or overvalued positions on either platform.

Several catalysts could shift odds for the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates before game time. Key player injuries or roster announcements, especially to star hitters or starting pitchers, typically trigger sharp moves. Weather conditions at the stadium, bullpen availability, and recent team form or winning streaks influence trader sentiment. Lineup confirmations released hours before first pitch often cause repricing. Additionally, any trades or last-minute roster moves by either team, as well as public injury updates or manager statements, can drive significant volume and price swings across Polymarket and Kalshi.